Prediction for Camila Osorio vs. Kamilla Rakhimova: WTA Guadalajara 2024

Elo Ratings & Win Probability

  • Camila Osorio: 1,833.4 Elo, 73% Win Probability
  • Kamilla Rakhimova: 1,659.1 Elo, 27% Win Probability

Head-to-Head Record

  • Osorio leads 2-0:
  • July 2023 (Hamburg): Osorio won 6-4, 6-3
  • May 2021 (Belgrade): Osorio won 4-6, 6-3, 6-4

Player Analysis

Camila Osorio

  • Current Rank: 80
  • Peak Rank: 33 (April 2022)
  • Plays: Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Odds:

  • Moneyline: 2.1 (Decimal) = +110 (American)
  • Spread: +1.5 @ 1.91 (Decimal) = -110 (American)

Last 52 Weeks Performance:

  • Overall Record: 30-20
  • vs. Top 100 Players: 13-18

Hard Court Record: 13-11

  • Last 10 Matches: 5-5, with an average margin of victory of -0.90 games
  • vs. Top 100 Players (Last 10 Matches): 2-8, with an average margin of victory of -3.00 games

Osorio is a fighter, as shown in her recent win over Kudermetova, where she came back from 0-5 in the third set to win 7-5. Despite a possible shoulder injury, Osorio has demonstrated a tenacious spirit, but her hard-court form has been inconsistent.

Kamilla Rakhimova

  • Current Rank: 89
  • Peak Rank: 65 (July 2023)
  • Plays: Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Odds:

  • Moneyline: 1.73 (Decimal) = -137 (American)
  • Spread: -1.5 @ 1.8 (Decimal) = -125 (American)

Last 52 Weeks Performance:

  • Overall Record: 36-31
  • vs. Top 100 Players: 14-19

Hard Court Record: 24-20

  • Last 10 Matches: 8-2, with an average margin of victory of +5.50 games
  • vs. Top 100 Players (Last 10 Matches): 5-5, with an average margin of victory of +0.40 games

Rakhimova is on a hot streak, going 7-0 in Guadalajara, with her last loss coming against world No. 1 Iga Swiatek. She held her own in that match, leading 4-0 in a tiebreaker before nerves got the best of her.


Betting Recommendation

Rakhimova’s recent form and impressive Guadalajara record are strong indicators of her current level. However, Osorio’s history of defeating her twice on clay, along with her higher Elo rating and underdog odds, makes her an intriguing pick. The line shifting in favor of Osorio suggests the market sees potential despite her injury concerns.

Bet Recommendation: Camila Osorio Moneyline @ 2.1. Her tenacity and past head-to-head success make her the better value in this matchup.

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