This upcoming match between Lucia Bronzetti and Ann Li presents a closely contested matchup, with both players having similar hard court records and recent form. Let’s break down the details to predict how this encounter might unfold.
Elo Ratings & Win Probability
- Lucia Bronzetti: 1,673.9 Elo, 57% win probability
- Current Rank: 86
- Peak Rank: 46 (April 2024)
- Last 52 Weeks: 28-32
- Ann Li: 1,626.6 Elo, 43% win probability
- Current Rank: 124
- Peak Rank: 44 (January 2022)
- Last 52 Weeks: 39-27
Odds Breakdown
- Lucia Bronzetti
- Moneyline: 1.8 (Decimal) = -125 (American)
- Spread: -1.5 @ 1.91 (Decimal) = -110 (American)
- Ann Li
- Moneyline: 2 (Decimal) = +100 (American)
- Spread: +1.5 @ 1.8 (Decimal) = -125 (American)
- Total Games Over/Under 21.5
- Over 21.5 @ 1.8 (Decimal) = -125 (American)
- Under 21.5 @ 1.91 (Decimal) = -110 (American)
Head-to-Head Record
- First meeting: They have never played each other before.
Player Analysis
Lucia Bronzetti
- Hard Court Record (Last 52 Weeks): 18-21
- Last 10 matches: -0.1 average margin of victory
- Hard Court Record vs opponents ranked 101+ (Last 52 Weeks): 12-1
- Last 10 matches: +4.8 average margin of victory
Ann Li
- Hard Court Record (Last 52 Weeks): 15-16
- Last 10 matches: +0.9 average margin of victory
- Hard Court Record vs Top 50 (Career): 7-16
- Last 10 matches: -1.7 average margin of victory
Betting Recommendation
Given the recent form of both players, Bronzetti’s dominance over lower-ranked players (9-1 in her last 10 matches vs players ranked 101+), and Ann Li’s inconsistent performance against stronger opponents, the recommended bet is Bronzetti -1.5 @ 1.91 odds.
Bronzetti’s consistency against players of Li’s ranking, combined with Li’s struggles against top-tier players, makes Bronzetti the more reliable option to cover the spread.