Elo Ratings & Win Probability
- Magdalena Frech: 1,777.2 Elo, 47% Win Probability
- Caroline Garcia: 1,796.9 Elo, 53% Win Probability
Head-to-Head Record
- Frech leads 1-0, beating Garcia at the Australian Open earlier this year 6-4, 7-6.
Player Analysis
Magdalena Frech
- Current Rank: 43
- Peak Rank: 42 (February 2024)
- Plays: Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Odds:
- Moneyline: 1.73 (Decimal) = -137 (American)
- Spread: -1.5 @ 1.91 (Decimal) = -110 (American)
Last 52 Weeks Performance:
- Overall Record: 42-31
- vs. Top 50 Players: 6-18
Hard Court Record:
- Record: 29-18
- Last 10 Matches: 7-3, average margin of victory: +1.20
- vs. Top 50 Players: 4-10, average margin of victory: -1.20
Caroline Garcia
- Current Rank: 30
- Peak Rank: 4 (September 2018)
- Plays: Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Odds:
- Moneyline: 2.0 (Decimal) = +100 (American)
- Spread: +1.5 @ 1.80 (Decimal) = -125 (American)
Last 52 Weeks Performance:
- Overall Record: 25-22
- vs. Top 50 Players: 7-13
Hard Court Record:
- Record: 18-15
- Last 10 Matches: 5-5, average margin of victory: -0.50
- vs. Top 50 Players: 6-10, average margin of victory: -1.80
Betting Recommendation
Magdalena Frech has been playing well this tournament, with her recent win against Stakusic showcasing her experience. However, Caroline Garcia has only played one match in Guadalajara and reached the semifinals due to a walkover in the quarterfinals. This might hinder her ability to adjust to the challenging conditions, especially with the night-time altitude in Guadalajara.
Frech leads their head-to-head record after her win at the Australian Open, which should boost her confidence. However, Garcia’s higher Elo rating and prior ranking as world No. 4 suggest that she has the skill set to take control of this matchup, especially if motivated by a desire for revenge. The odds indicate a close match, and while Garcia has been inconsistent lately, her moneyline odds offer great value.
Recommendation: Bet on Garcia moneyline @ 2.0, considering her potential to rise to the occasion and the favorable odds.